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Where is college football now and where will it go in the future Summary/Rendition

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College football as we know it is coming to an end

The torpedoes keep coming and the college football convoy is in serious danger of disappearing under the waves. That is all. The grand finale is here for the series. It hasn’t been a fun ride for many reasons, but the biggest “murder” that has been obvious since this adventure began around the time of the spring practice season has been that college football is changing and the forces behind it. they’re changing they’re doing more tearing it down than making it better.

The latest massive blow was the baffling, chart-busting move by the University of Southern California and the University of California, Los Angeles breaking away from PAC 12 and moving to B1G, of all places. This narrows the PAC 12 down to ten teams, of which only Oregon (which is furious, by the way) has any real national championship threat level.

Catch Me If You Can

We took a trip through all the conferences in both the “Power 5” and the “Group of 5” to see what was going on with the realignment that has been brewing for the last generation. No one can accuse the conferences of being particularly stable at the edges, but there has traditionally been a core set of teams in each that kept the turmoil going at the edges of the conferences.

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In Power 5, we see the effect being felt most at the Big XII Conference, which is losing featured shows and struggling to make up for that with one-off additions to fill the gaps of mid-tier and independent FBS shows. PAC 12 had a huge success in both prestige and audience participation with the sudden and surprise move of USC and UCLA to the B1G.

The core Group of 5 conferences are stable, but Conference USA is falling apart from the rise of the Sun Belt and AAC conferences. Those moves are accelerating from the supposed 2025 transition until the Sun Belt is almost fully intact and operating as a 14-team league by the start of the 2022 season.

At both theoretical levels of FBS football, we are seeing a massive realignment based, primarily on TV media money and new post-2025 contracts. What appears to be happening is a sorting out of the leagues for the benefit of the media and the advertisers. We’ll talk about that in the final article when we discuss the “professionalization” of FBS college football.

Taking a checkpoint

The survey questions were aimed at measuring casual fan appeal among readers of this site. So, the general sentiments are still valid, but the whole set of polls was pretty defenestrated by the latest moves and anticipated future moves. We didn’t expect a large number of respondents, and as we went from P5 to G5, we expected even less. Those were largely met, but the numbers were just as interesting.

https://www.gobblercountry.com/2022/1/23/22897712/where-is-college-football-going-after-2022-acc-football-virginia-tech-hokies

https://www.gobblercountry.com/2022/1/28/22906344/where-college-football-is-now-and-the-immediate-future-part-1-acc-virginia-tech-hokies

https://www.gobblercountry.com/2022/2/3/22915845/where-college-football-is-now-and-the-immediate-future-part-2-acc-virginia-tech-hokies

https://www.gobblercountry.com/2022/2/16/22937161/where-college-football-is-now-and-the-immediate-future-conference-details-sec-acc

https://www.gobblercountry.com/2022/2/28/22954697/where-college-football-is-now-and-the-immediate-future-conference-details-b1g

https://www.gobblercountry.com/2022/3/11/22972558/where-college-football-is-now-and-the-immediate-future-pac-12-conference-details

https://www.gobblercountry.com/2022/3/24/22995094/where-is-college-football-now-and-where-is-it-going-in-the-future-big-xii-acc

https://www.gobblercountry.com/2022/4/5/23011899/where-college-football-is-now-and-where-it-goes-in-the-future-acc-conference

https://www.gobblercountry.com/2022/4/28/23046778/where-college-football-is-now-and-where-it-goes-in-the-future-aac-yc-usa-acc

https://www.gobblercountry.com/2022/6/2/23150995/where-college-football-is-now-and-going-in-the-future-mac-and-mountain-west

https://www.gobblercountry.com/2022/6/21/23176683/where-college-football-is-now-and-going-in-the-future-sun-belt-acc-football

The critical question that opened the series was: Given what you know now, what answer do you think will happen by 2030? Aside from having an embarrassing fat toe between the ‘t’ and ‘d’, the results were pretty illuminating. At the beginning of the series, everyone thought that some serious “trouble” was brewing. Two-thirds of the votes were cast in favor of the response that highlights issues of money, professionalism, name image and likeness as seriously distorting factors that will eventually result in government involvement.

That survey was conducted in February. We’ll ask him, at the end of this, if he still feels that way now that the series is coming to an end and he sees cause and effect in the conference turmoil. It seems that ALL it will change, and the problems will become even murkier.

Keep in mind that the only conference that doesn’t seem to have moved much is the one surrounding all the media speculation, and Virginia Tech doesn’t even play in their mix of teams being considered. The ACC is being seen for evisceration with the huge rumor that Notre Dame is going to B1G, with a variety of other teams in the pile like Florida State and Clemson going to a 20-team SEC-based super conference. And no, no one is speculating on the Hokies.

The crickets’ song is so loud that the sports media would be shocked if Tech won a football game this season. The show’s cancellation appears to have begun; along with the complete cancellation of the ACC as a “power conference”.

Summarizing the great “It” All Up

What we are left with from the extended series is a picture of college football that is fundamentally unstable and unsustainable. Conferences are managed by a few dominant programs that attract the most cash to the till.

The SEC appears to be targeting 20 teams

The king conference is the Southeastern (SEC), soon to be a 16-team semi-pro soccer league without the need to play outside the conference to complete a 12-game schedule. However, the league is lopsided in program capabilities and quality, with perpetual basement dwellers like Arkansas, Vanderbilt, Kentucky and South Carolina playing games to support the records of college football giants. None of those programs would be poor football teams if they existed in other conferences along the lines of the Sun Belt or even the ACC. They just can’t compete against the likes of Alabama, Auburn (though they’ve been struggling lately, too), Texas A&M, with Texas and Oklahoma soon to be added. That situation likely won’t continue, and the bottom of the SEC could be traded with the top of other conferences in the Power 5.

B1G goes to the Pacific for the media market $$$

The Big Ten (B1G) is no longer in relative stasis. That horse left the stable when they added the West Coast media market giant of Los Angeles to their deal pile. Before the Los Angeles team moved in, there were only a few teams that could maintain the level of travel and competition to match the dominant Ohio State, Wisconsin, and Michigan programs (not just playing comp., but team strength as well). monetary program). The reality of B1G is that it is a high-level league with a lot of above-average and above-average programs. Its big draw is local and traditional rivalry matchups with some conference and non-conference teams. Notre Dame’s sports nonprofit loss to the ACC and the SEC’s dominant growth seem to have shaken their thinking.

PAC 10 again, now and much poorer to begin with

The PAC 12 looks like the West Coast version of the Big XII. It had few really mainstream programs and not much drive to grow or revamp what it did have. The conference has lost a huge media market over the loss of the Los Angeles-based teams. Its attractiveness in the advertising market will obtain significant income in the next round of negotiations with “El Ratón”. The main problem is similar to B1G (which will have a large share of the TV market) in that there are simply no quality teams in the region to expand or trade. There isn’t much in the way of influence to drive change from internal forces or external pressure.

The Leftovers – Big XII and the ACC

The Big XII and the ACC are in strange positions. With this ongoing rotation, ACC’s permanent media deal gets ratings ranging from disastrous to pathetic. The Big XII lost its two big market teams in Texas and Oklahoma, and the rest of the top teams in the conference are desperate to find a better revenue base. Suffice it to say that both conferences are ripe for what seems to come; a complete and total realignment of Bowl-level college football into six super conferences at three levels of competition and market potential. The Big XII has already mostly fallen victim to the moves, and the ACC is the dying wildebeest with the vultures circling overhead, waiting for the lions to do their job.

As for the middle and bottom four groups of conferences that look set to form out of the rubble, we’ll have to go to fate. There are indications that most of the G5 conferences will be rebalanced, with lower-tier teams remaining from the P5, but that is pure speculation at this point.

What is this all about? Why the total destruction of amateur-level college football?

We’ll talk about opinions on the whys and wherefores in the next article, but for the brief explanation that gives us a clue as to what happened to cause this crazy fight, all we have to say is; “follow the Benjamins”. That’s not what college football is supposed to be about, so company-wide cognitive dissonance is now resulting in total chaos.

So we ask again…

Poll

Given what you know now, what answer do you think will happen by 2030?

  • 0%

    College sports are disassociated from football. Soccer programs are categorized into 6 super conferences with the top 2 being professional conferences.

    (0 votes)

  • 0%

    The NCAA loses full control of the major conferences and calls on Congress to write new rules governing college sports, demonetizing most leagues.

    (0 votes)

  • 0%

    The FBS is completely reorganized into an amateur league and a professional league. New regulations will be needed and professional teams will be completely decoupled from universities.

    (0 votes)

  • 0%

    I don’t know. This is crazy. It’s about how much money the media is throwing away. Everything is so corrupt now and so disgusting that I don’t care anymore.

    (0 votes)


0 total votes

vote now

We’ll end with the article where I thought we’d end the series; the road there just changed, a lot. It’s kind of like body surfing… the waves are all different every time you look, but in the end you’ll end up getting smashed against the beach.

As usual!

sniloans