Warriors-Celtics prediction, pick, odds, margin, lineup for Game 5 of the 2022 NBA Finals


The stakes couldn’t be much higher than it is for Monday night’s Game 5 of the 2022 NBA Finals between the Boston Celtics and the Golden State Warriors. Through the first four games of the series, the two teams have alternated wins with the Celtics winning Games 1 and 3 and the Warriors emerging victorious in Games 2 and 4. With the series tied at two wins apiece, the Game 5 will likely go a long way toward determining the ultimate victor. Teams that win Game 5 of a best-of-seven series tied 2-2 go on to win that series more than 80 percent of the time.

If the Warriors are going to be the team to take a 3-2 lead, they’re going to need some guys to step up around Steph Curry, who has been phenomenal throughout the series. Curry’s 43-point performance in Game 4 was a masterpiece, but Draymond Green, Klay Thompson and Jordan Poole must do more if the Warriors are to win their fourth ring under Steve Kerr.

On the other hand, the Celtics’ success could very well hinge on their ability to stop Curry, something they haven’t done so far. Maybe catching him and taking the ball out of his hands is the way to go. It is a strategy that is at least worth trying. Plus, Boston needs to take care of the ball. The Celtics are 1-6 this postseason in games in which they turn the ball over 15 or more times. By contrast, they are 13-2 when limiting their turnovers to 14 or fewer.


Given all that is at stake, Game 5 should be an extremely competitive contest. I’m leaning toward Boston because of their uncanny ability to always bounce back after losses. That’s how our panel of experts sees it.

How to watch Game 5 live

  • Play: NBA Finals, Game 5
  • Date: Monday June 13 | 9 p.m. ET
  • Location: Chase Center – San Francisco, California
  • TV: ABC | Live broadcast: fuboTV (Get Access Now)
  • Odds: SBO +145; SG-170; O/U 212 (via Caesars Sportsbook)

Celtics vs. Prediction Warriors, Game 5 picks

Bill Reiter: The Celtics are younger, more athletic, deeper, better defensively and on a remarkable streak of resiliency and top-tier basketball since they flipped their season in late January. But they don’t have Stephen Curry. And, as we saw in Game 4, they can’t stop him either. Klay Thompson has found his footing, Kevon Looney has been quietly excellent late in games in these Finals, and there’s still time for Draymond Green to make the impact we’ve all hoped for. But that’s just noise serving as background music to the fact that Curry is historically a great player and, like in Boston a few nights ago, he won’t let his team lose Game 5, regardless of the supporting cast of the. Pick: Golden State -3.5 | Warriors 112, Celtics 107

Brad Botkins: I picked Boston to win in seven, but they won’t win Game 5. Curry is too hot, and I think Klay, who has had stretches where he seemed ready to explode, is coming home. Draymond has to be better. I’m betting on that. At this point in the series, I don’t think the tweaks will make much of a difference. There are few surprises left. I’m curious how long Boston will keep losing (even if they try hard to start higher) to Curry, but if that changes, it could turn Green on as the 4-on-3 playmaker, which in turn could turn him on defensively. That is something to see. Regardless, I think Golden State wins this one. Curry is too much right now. Pick: Golden State -3.5 | Warriors 102, Celtics 95

james herbert: Boston is the choice. This team recovers every time it loses and, more specifically, recovers on offense. I hope this feels more like Game 3 than Game 4, especially when it comes to Jayson Tatum’s plays. (If I’m wrong because Steph goes crazy again, awesome!) Pick: Boston +3.5 | Celtics 114, Warriors 103

Michael Kaskey-Blomain: Their Really Hard to pick against Steph Curry given how well she’s played in the series, but her supporting cast has been inconsistent to say the least. Curry can only do so much, especially if Boston alters his defense to try to force the ball out of Curry’s hands, and it’s hard to trust the guys around him to get the job done at this point. Plus, Boston has been stellar after a loss this postseason, going 7-0 in such situations. Jayson Tatum, in particular, has upped his game after Boston’s losses, and he can be expected to do the same in Game 5. Pick: Boston +3.5 | Celtics 106, Warriors 100

Sam Quinn: We’ve gotten to the point in the series where both teams know each other. We know how the rotations will be. They have learned each other’s playbooks. Not many surprises left here. Here’s all we know with any emphasis: Golden State can limit Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown … but there’s nothing Boston can do to stop Stephen Curry. A lot of other things can change a game. Perhaps the role players on a team take significantly more shots. Maybe one team gets to the line more often. There are no guarantees in the NBA Finals, but with four games on the books, I’m sticking with the one constant this series has given us: Curry. Pick: Golden State -3.5 | Warriors 110, Celtics 101

Colin Ward-Henninger: Usually at this point in a Finals series you can start throwing tactics and adjustments out the window, but that’s not necessarily the case here. Steve Kerr continues to play around with rotations, and his choice to split Draymond Green and Kevon Looney came in handy in Game 4. The Warriors’ half-court offense hasn’t been great, even with the exploits of Steph Curry, but Jordan Poole seems to be changing. a corner and they’ll likely get more from Otto Porter in Game 5. The Celtics have played well on the road and after losses, but Golden State knows how important it is to win this game back at Boston. Give me the Warriors. Pick: Golden State -3.5 | Golden State 109, Boston 105

Jasmyn Wimbish: Steph Curry was electric in Game 4, but the Warriors needed his best effort to win. The production Golden State has gotten from guys like Klay Thompson, Draymond Green and Andrew Wiggins has been so inconsistent, and despite being at the Chase Center, I still trust the Celtics a little more right now. I’m going with them to achieve victory. Pick: Boston +3.5 | Celtics 110, Warriors 105