US Open 2022 odds, picks: Rory McIlroy tops favorites with Scottie Scheffler, Justin Thomas close behind


One of the strongest fields of the year at the 2022 US Open features an expanded odds board with only five players sitting at 20-1 or below, according to Caesars Sportsbook. Those players are led by four-time Grand Slam champion and recent RBC Canadian Open winner Rory McIlroy, who overtook World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler as the favorite with his victory at St. George’s Golf & Country Club.

Scheffler has topped the betting board every time he’s tested it for the better part of three months, but this should come as no surprise given the quality of play McIlroy has been displaying recently. The Texan is hot on his heels as is PGA Championship winner Justin Thomas. Defending US Open champion Jon Rahm checks in behind that group.

With so much talent at the top of the men’s game, it will be difficult for an unassuming victor to show up at The Country Club. However, despite the demanding conditions of the US Open, it has been ripe for big strides over the last decade, as 10 of the last 13 champions have, in fact, been rookies.


This list of winners ranges from Lucas Glover at Bethpage Black to former World No. 1 Rahm, who walked away as the favorite at Torrey Pines. With Jordan Spieth, Dustin Johnson and Brooks Koepka sprinkled throughout this stretch, the US Open should once again crown a worthy champion.

Let’s take a look at the entire odds board through Caesars Sportsbook. Also, check out a bunch of US Open Predictions and Expert Picks from our CBS Sports staff along with a list of nine golfers most likely to win the US Open.

US Open 2022 odds


  • Rory McIlroy: 10-1
  • Scottie Scheffler: 12-1
  • Justin Thomas: 12-1
  • Jon Rahm: 14-1
  • Cameron Smith: 20-1
  • Colin Morikawa: 22-1
  • Jordan Spieth: 22-1
  • Matt Fitzpatrick: 22-1
  • Patrick Cantlay: 22-1
  • Xander Schauffele: 22-1
  • Will Zalatoris: 25-1
  • Shane Lowry: 25-1
  • Victor Hovland: 25-1
  • Sam Burns: 25-1

Normally it’s hard to pick the top of the board, but a couple of these players have experienced a lull in their game. Two-time Major champion Morikawa has struggled in 2022 and Smith’s rebelliousness off the tee may not be conducive to the US Open scrutiny. The Country Club, like most US Open venues, will demand excellence off the tee. McIlroy and Rahm are two of the best in the world with a pilot in hand.


  • Joaquin Niemann: 35-1
  • Tony Finau: 35-1
  • Brooks-Koepka: 35-1
  • Hideki Matsuyama: 35-1
  • Young Cameron: 40-1
  • Billy Horschel: 40-1
  • Daniel Berger: 40-1
  • Maximum Homa: 40-1
  • Dustin Johnson: 40-1
  • Sungjae Im: 45-1
  • Tommy Fleetwood: 50-1
  • Corey Conners: 50-1
  • Myth Pereira: 50-1

I love, I love, I love the names that appear here. It’s not out of the realm of possibility that this week’s winner will come from this group of players. Niemann, Young, Berger, Finau, Horschel, Fleetwood, Homa, Im, Conners and Pereira are extremely capable of competing and claiming their first major title. Former US Open champions Koepka and Johnson are the two big question marks; they could run out or be serious factors.


  • Davis-Riley: 60-1
  • Justin Pink: 60-1
  • Abraham Ancer: 65-1
  • Luis Oosthuizen: 65-1
  • Tyrrell Hatton: 70-1
  • Webb Simpson: 70-1
  • Keegan Bradley: 80-1
  • Talor Gooch: 80-1
  • Wise Aaron: 80-1
  • Harold Varner III: 80-1
  • Patrick Reed: 80-1
  • Bryson DeChambeau: 80-1
  • Gary Woodland: 100-1
  • Adam Scott: 100-1
  • Sergio Garcia: 100-1
  • Seamus Power: 100-1
  • Jason Kokrak: 100-1

There are nine major champions listed above, four of whom are US Open winners. Rose’s price has seen a huge boost as she impressed at the RBC Canadian Open with a final round 60, while the uncertainty surrounding DeChambeau has seen her move significantly down the board.

Everyone else

  • Si Woo Kim: 125-1
  • Marc Leishman: 125-1
  • Russell Henley: 125-1
  • Sebastian Munoz: 125-1
  • Tom Hoge: 150-1
  • Brian Harman: 150-1
  • Phil Mickelson: 150-1
  • Kevin Na: 150-1
  • KH Lee: 150-1
  • Francisco Molinari: 150-1
  • Thomas Pieters: 150-1
  • Alex Noren: 150-1
  • Lucas list: 150-1

A surprisingly high number of players over 100-1 were serious threats at last year’s US Open. Richard Bland was the 36-hole leader, while Henley and Hughes were two of the 54-hole leaders at Torrey Pines. English and Migliozzi both finished in the top five, so there could be some diamonds in the rough here. If I had to choose, McCarthy, Noren and Perez are the three most capable of playing on the first or second page of the leaderboard.

  • Stewart Cink: 200-1
  • Sam Horfield: 200-1
  • Lucas Herbert: 200-1
  • Cameron Tringale: 200-1
  • Lanto Griffin: 200-1
  • Min Woo Lee: 200-1
  • Erik Van Rooyen: 200-1
  • Scott Stallings: 200-1
  • Joel Dahman: 200-1
  • Patrick Rogers: 200-1
  • Sep Straka: 200-1
  • Kevin Kisner: 200-1
  • Adrian Arnaus: 200-1
  • Victor Perez: 200-1
  • Harris English: 200-1
  • Ryan Fox: 200-1
  • Mackenzie Hughes: 200-1
  • Denny McCarthy: 200-1
  • Branden Grace: 200-1
  • Wyndham Clark: 250-1
  • Guido Migliozzi: 250-1
  • Matthew Ne Smith: 250-1
  • Kurt Kitayama: 250-1
  • Troy Merritt: 250-1
  • Beau Hossler: 250-1
  • Joohyun Kim: 250-1

Who will win the US Open and which long shots will surprise the golf world? Visit SportsLine now for projected standings and best betsall from the model that won eight golf majors and is up more than $9,500 since the reset.