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Pick ‘Em Preview: US Open

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If the US Open plays out at even a fraction of how the PGA Championship played out, then you can’t give up no matter when you think you don’t stand a chance. Remember, that was the week the PGA TOUR Pick ‘Em Live champion caught Justin Thomas at +30,000 to win half of the final round. Tournaments where the top of the leaderboard is most likely to return to the field are best for that type of selection.

Also, just like the last Major, PGA TOUR Pick ‘Em Live has expanded the prize money slots by four times the normal size. All the top 20 players at The Country Club will be paid. First place will win $2,000. Check the top of your desktop interface and/or mobile app for the breakdown.

As for the desktop, if yours is the default Valspar Championship, click on the Profile page until it loads. (It will cycle through a series of new popups until you do.) Then click SIGN OUT. That should reset your interface to reflect the opening board for the US Open, and strange as it may be, it won’t actually log you out. Of course, as we experienced earlier, if your page doesn’t reset, actually log out and log back in.

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With deep fields, the odds on many of your favorites are low, so go get yours!

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For a more extensive explanation of the format and frequently asked questions, Click here.

TOURNAMENT

GAIN

GlassXander Schauffele (+2200)

No time for fun business this week! We’ve heard that the majors continue to send out BIG BOY WINNERS, so I’ll leave my daydream at +10000 and up for the other events.

Schauffele’s record in this event is fantastic as he is T7 or better in all five of his career starts in the last five years. I understand that there are guys with better shape, they win shares or whatever. He has performed on classic tracks, coastal tracks, and a “new” track. Covered bases.

I am housing him based on five years of growth and scar tissue. He’s not going to be surprised, shocked or shaken on Sunday afternoon as his demeanor matches the depth of his bag. He’s ready.

StealBrooks Koepka (+4000)

As much as I’d like to and as easy as it’s been over the years, I can’t argue with Glass, but Koepka trains with having gone Win-Win-2nd-T4 at the US Open since 2017. But we don’t. I don’t need to post receipts from him on the bulletin board. This is a major and he is an apex warrior. the house is pulling U.S a bone in this backlash.

TOP 10

GlassMax Homa (+380)

My luck in the weekend window has been mixed, so I’ll be focusing on players who may not need to (hopefully) adjust as the weekend progresses.

I absolutely HATE his record in the majors overall (11 events, 4 cuts made). I’m playing the come here as he has cashed his last three and T13 at Southern Hills was the best of the bunch. His reputation on tough tracks RECENTLY is beyond fantastic.

StealPatrick Cane (+775)

Results may vary, because while I can access this window regularly and Brendon Todd turned in +1100 on Colonial, I probably need to lower my expectations going into the final round. For now, I can still open with a scope.

This is one of those happy accidents that we expect to find along the way. His form has been uninspiring for most of 2022, but he still got up for a T7 in challenging conditions at Colonial just three weeks ago. That’s what patience and one of the best short games can make.

I am also obsessed with his record in all races. He has shown time and time again that he wants to turn on the lights. The tougher the test, the better it performs, the more we benefit. At the US Open alone, he has a solo fourth-place finish among five top 20s.

TOP 20

StealVictor Perez (+700)

The frontend seems to be opening this window regularly and earlier for R2, so I’m opening it with an aggressive move to French. he is one of my Sleepers.

The play is for a guy who has enough experience in the biggest events not to be overwhelmed by the experience. He too is coming into fashion and even if there may be fewer Tom Brady fans in the neighborhoods surrounding The Country Club, Perez remains loyal to TB12. However, he will need to get off to a good start to retain my loyalty. The inconsistency of having the option to modify this bet during tournaments is more influential than the hope that it will recover from, say, sitting out T70 after a round.

GlassBrian Harman (+425)

He cashed in his last four US Open including monsters Erin Hills (T2), Shinnecock Hills, Winged Foot and Torrey Pines. He should be relieved that he’s getting “only” 7,264 yards this week. Balanced through the bag, his excellent short game can let him hang around.

ROUND 1

LEADER

GlassJon Rahm (+2500)

I will hitch my car to one of the first 3 balls out front knowing I can rearrange for MOST of the day.

Clearly stated that he is playing the PGATOUR for competition and legacy, he will be looking to join Brooks Koepka and Curtis Strange in the recent record books if he wins again this week. An excellent start won’t hurt his chances and would put the field on notice.

StealRory McIlroy (+1400)

This is where Glass can catch me every time. McIlroy walks away with No. 10 at 7:40 am ET and is rightfully tagged with the lowest odds. However, by the time I get up on Thursday morning, he’ll be done with his round, so I need to let my potential fully turn to the afternoon wave.

Among the longer shots, I looked at Denny McCarthy (+12,500), Sebastián Muñoz (+8,000), and Russell Henley (+6,600). McCarthy has been doing the best job of it lately in the early rounds, Munoz opened The RSM Classic and AT&T Byron Nelson with 60, and Henley was the FRL at the US Open in 2018 and 2021. They all finish before 8: 00 a.m.

NOTE: While Glass and Rob normally keep their picks as detailed in the Pick ‘Em preview, they have the right to make changes at any time.

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