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Expert Picks and Betting Tips for US Open 2022

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The 2022 US Open Championship returns to Brookline Country Club in Brookline, Massachusetts for the first time since 1988, with a packed field of 156 golfers vying for the top 60 spots to advance. 2011 US Open winner Rory McIlroy enters the weekend as the favorite after winning the RBC Canadian Open last weekend. McIlroy will have to beat a tough field that includes defending champion Jon Rahm, PGA Championship winner Justin Thomas and Masters winner Scottie Scheffler.

Where is the value of the bets? Will the favorites prevail? Our golf and betting experts analyze the course for the third major of the year.

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Jump to a section:
Expert Picks to Win | Betting Value Picks to Win | Notable Golfers Fees | Accessories and more


Expert Picks

Matt Barrie, ESPN
Winner:
Rory McIlroy

Charlotte Gibson, ESPN.com
Winner: will zalatoris

Andy North, ESPN
Winner: justin thomas

Mark Schlabach, ESPN.com
Winner:
Shane Lowry

Marty Smith ESPN
Winner:
tony finau

Curtis Strange, ESPN
Winner:
cameron smith

Wright Thompson, ESPN.com
Winner:
Dustin Johnson

Paolo Uggetti, ESPN.com
Winner:
Rory McIlroy

Tom Van Haaren, ESPN.com
Winner:
Rory McIlroy

Scott Van Pelt ESPN
Winner:
will zalatoris

Kevin Van Valkenburg, ESPN.com
Winner:
will zalatoris

Josh Weinfuss, ESPN.com
Winner:
scottie scheffler


Bet value picks to win

Our betting experts give you picks to win based on value. We look at the betting board and tell you who has the best chance of cashing in your ticket.

Michael Collins, ESPN Senior Golf Analyst
Winner: Sam Burns (25-1)

Why you will win: Burns already has three wins this season and is hot after his last three starts. At 25-1, he has a lot of value in a packed field.

Anita Marks, ESPN Betting Analyst
Winner: Sung Jae Im (40-1)

Why you will win: Im playing well on the big stage (T-2 and T-8 at the Masters, T-17 at the PGA Championship). He checks a lot of the boxes when he looks at the metrics needed to win at Brookline, ranking 29th in driving accuracy, 7th in greens in regulation and 3rd in scrambling this season.

David Bearman, Associate Sportsbook Editor, ESPN.com
Winner: Justin Thomas (11-1)

Why you will win: Thomas had another incredible performance last week in Canada going 63-64 on the weekend to nearly chase down Rory McIlroy. He is 3rd in tee-to-green and strokes gained overall, 6th in approach and 14th off the tee. Thomas is arguably the most popular golfer on the tour right now, finally overcoming the “second major” drought last month. No. 3 should be on the cards this weekend.

Chris Fallica, ESPN Betting Analyst
Winner:
Dustin Johnson (40-1)

Why you will win: Johnson is a former US Open champion and has enjoyed a streak of five top-six finishes in seven years. This course will demand a long and precise game off the tee, and that’s perfect for DJs. He hasn’t had the best of years, but at this price, he’s definitely worth playing.

Tyler Fulghum, ESPN Betting Analyst
Winner: Xander Schauffele (22-1)

Why you will win: Schauffele has never won a major, but has always been in contention at the US Open. He has played the event five times in his career and has a T-5, T-6, T-3, 5 and T-7. Schauffele always seems to play better when the conditions are more treacherous and the field is deeper. It’s time for X-Man to move forward with his first big win.

Joe Fortenbaugh, ESPN Betting Analyst
Winner: Shane Lowry (35-1)

Why you will win: Lowry has just produced a T-10 in Canada to go along with his T-3 results at both the Masters and RBC Heritage and second place overall in the Honda Classic. He currently ranks ninth on the tour in strokes gained – approaching the green, which is integral on a course like Brookline with postage stamp greens.


Odds of winning the US Open 2022


Accessories and more

Our betting experts have more than just bets to win. Here are some fixtures to target for the entire event, from top 10s to cuts made to tournament matchups..

Dustin Johnson finished in the top 10 (+400)
bear man: This pick isn’t about the LIV Tour, it’s about getting a 4-1 top-10 value on a former World No. 1 player, who has a strong resume of playing well on Northeast courses. He has six top-10 finishes at the US Open, including a win in 2016. He hasn’t been very good this year, but if he brings his A game and golf with a chip on his shoulder, this could command as much as the $40 payout. -1 to win.

Collin Morikawa finished in the top 10 (+175)
bear man: I will play Morikawa to win and get into the top 10 as he is arguably the number one ball striker on tour and this course demands that kind of play. His struggle has always been with the putter, but Morikawa discovered it at the previous two majors. This course is tailor-made for a guy fifth from the approach and 20 off the tee, and a third Grand Slam leg is not out of the question.

Bryson DeChambeau finished in the top 5 (+800)
Collins: DeChambeau is healthy and surprisingly under the radar this week. This is a literal “win for the money” bet. He will try to do what he did at Winged Foot to win that US Open.

Elimination to decide the winner (+310)
Collins: Members of the media hate to hear the word playoff in golf, but this week has all the potential for a three- or four-player playoff. A lot of guys look like their games are peaking right now.

Xander Schauffele finished in the top 10 (+225))
Fallica: Although Schauffele failed to win a major championship, he excelled on the US Open courses. He has posted five Top 10s in each of his five appearances, with three top 5 finishes. Schauffele ranks seventh in strokes gained: tee-to-green and ninth in strokes gained: total. That well-rounded game should produce another strong weekend at the US Open.

Viktor Hovland misses the cut (+225)
Fallica:
Hovland hasn’t had a Top 20 finish in a stroke-play event since March and has never finished in the Top 10 at a major. He’s also terrible around the green (204th in strokes gained around the green) and given the small size of these greens, that could spell trouble for him this weekend.

Max Homa finish in the top 20 (+160)
Brands: Homa’s first two wins on tour were on major championship-quality courses. He was T-5 at the Memorial, where he only needed 99 putts that week, and T-13 at the PGA Championship last month.

Adri Arnaus finishes in the top 40 (2-1)
Brands:
Arnaus has distance to compete this week. He has dominated the DP World Tour, finished T-30 in the PGA Championship and is the second best player in Spain behind Jon Rahm.

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