Ruud vs. Humbert Odds
|Total||39.5 (-105 / -115)|
|Time | how to watch||6:00 a.m. Eastern Time | ESPN+|
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Casper Ruud is becoming a household name after he was able to reach the finals in Miami and Paris this year, but he played anything but in recent weeks on the pitch.
The young Norwegian enters his second-round encounter against Ugo Humbert, a player who has fallen outside the top 100, as short-term favourite. Is this the correct price?
Let’s find that out.
Uncomfortable Ruud On Grass
Ruud is becoming one of the most confusing players in the world. He is currently ranked No. 6 in the world, and a run to the Roland Garros final coupled with a Masters 1000 win and two clay-court titles would have you believe this is the same dominant player we saw a year ago.
However, he has undergone several changes to improve his hard court game.
That seems to have worked, but what remains of Ruud is a guy with a confusing mix of skills, whereas earlier last year we knew of a very straightforward player who dominated the clay with a massive forehand.
Ruud’s run to Roland Garros was not without its hiccups, and it seems those hiccups still haven’t gone away. He fell in straight sets to a much inferior player, Ryan Peniston, in his first match on grass, and then again to Zizou Bergs in an exhibition on grass. He slipped in for Carlos Alcaraz, a player who was not giving the game 100% due to injury, according to reports.
All of that culminated in one of the most embarrassing straight set wins he could have gotten. Ruud played a clay specialist in Albert Ramos-Vinolas, 34, and needed two tie breaks to get the first two sets.
That includes a 20-point break in the second, before the Spaniard finally ran out of steam.
Talk about how bad Ruud is on fast courts like these.
Humbert looks to get through a tough year
The nightmarish season continues for Humbert, a highly talented 24-year-old who reached World No. 25 before an epic collapse culminated in the Frenchman dropping to No. 112 before Wimbledon.
Humbert is just 7-17 this season, and he’s just 2-3 on his beloved grass. He had a pretty decent loss against Hubert Hurkavz in Halle, but losing to Thiago Monteiro in Eastbourne and needing five sets against Tomas Etcheverry doesn’t really inspire much confidence.
Humbert was 8-6 on grass when he first stepped onto the surface in 2019 and was one of the fittest grass-court players in the world last season with a title in Halle and an 8-2 record overall.
It’s worth noting here that Humbert has delighted in playing with the best in the world. He has an impressive 6-5 against the top 10 players in his career with one of those wins earlier this year against Daniil Medvedev in a match in which he trailed by a set and a break.
Aside from the fact that Ruud is no good on grass and has had some troublesome matches to date, this is a nightmarish matchup for the World No. 6.
Ruud’s backhand is appalling and a glaring weakness that nearly every player on tour tries to exploit. Humbert is left-handed, which means he will be hitting a forehand against Ruud’s backhand throughout the match. On grass, this is going to be a disaster for Ruud.
Humbert’s massive serve is why he’s been successful on grass, and that should help narrow the margins here. I have no faith in Ruud’s ability to break multiple times given his stubbornness on return and his inability to make adjustments in the match.
As crazy as that is, one of the biggest busts on tour is in line for a big win here at Wimbledon.
Collect: Umberto +125
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