Alcaraz vs. Sinner Odds
|Time | how to watch||10 a.m. ET | ESPN/ESPN+|
|Odds through PointsBet. For tips on how to watch tennis matches, click here.|
It’s Wimbledon Sunday’s match of the day.
Young sensations Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner square off on Center Court for a spot in the quarterfinals.
Now that Alcaraz has found some rhythm, can he keep his run alive in the third slam of the year? Does the Italian have what it takes to stop him?
Let’s break it down.
Alcaraz looking comfortable on grass
It was quite clear from the start that even the sport’s phenoms are not immune to the acclimatization period that comes with grass-court tennis.
After needing five sets to defeat Yuichi Sugita in the first round last year, Alcaraz was crushed by Daniil Medvedev.
This season, Alcaraz chose to use the Hurlingham exhibition as his warm-up and lost all four sets played.
Alcaraz’s first round at the All England Club was also nerve-wracking, having lost two sets to one to Jan-Lennard Struff before coming back and winning the decider.
Since then, however, he seems to have found his footing. With incredible reaction times, elite shooting ability and a great game from the baseline, once he showed up the best movement in the world and was comfortable on the turf, he was always going to be a threat.
It seems that he has found that consolation, as he won his last six sets, with only one of them going past 10 games.
Alcaraz’s signature return game is shining and his serve is improving (his ace rate is double the rate he has achieved in the last 52 weeks and his first serve points won are up over 80% from 71). .5% of the last 52).
Sinner looking for more weed progress
At 20 years old, Sinner enters this match as the older player in this third round between two of the best young players in the sport.
He managed to capitalize on a decent draw, outplaying Stan Wawrinka, managing lighter-hitting Mikael Ymer in four sets and then beating massive-serving John Isner in two.
However, it is a very different test that awaits him in the round of 16, as he is tasked with trying to stop an Alcaraz who is on a roll.
With consistent baseline play that builds easy power, Sinner has risen up the ATP rankings quite quickly.
His backhand is the most consistent weapon, and the Italian doesn’t have too many weaknesses in his game from a serving/groundstrokes point of view.
The problem for him is movement on grass courts and his return game, as he struggles to extend points against players who have effective service plus one games.
With Alcaraz finding so much success behind his first serves this week, it’s going to be an uphill battle.
Alcaraz’s serve has greatly benefited from the faster surface, and with him holding such a huge advantage in both return of serve and athleticism, it’s hard to bet against the Spaniard.
His display since the first round has been dominant and signaled to the tennis world that he is ready to compete on what has traditionally been his weakest surface.
It’s hard to find a way for Sinner on the comeback, and after Alcaraz managed to break one of the best grass court servers on tour with ease in the 3rd round, it’s easy to see Alcaraz winning this by 6+ games.
I’m going to entrust the kid with the best complete game that has been getting better with each passing round.
Picks: Alcaraz -4.5 games (-115 via PointsBet)
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