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BetMGM: All eyes on Chase Elliott for Road America

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2022 Betmgmroadamerica


Logan Riley | fake images

Chase Elliott is returning to the road course drawing board this week as he drags a five-race winless drought on the type of track to the Kwik Trip 250. And the NASCAR betting The public is predicting that Elliott and his Hendrick Motorsports team will assemble a Next Gen masterpiece at Road America.

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Elliott is the defending champion at the 4,048-mile track in Wisconsin, but that victory in the first NASCAR Cup Series race at Road America in 65 years is “out the window,” as is his dominance of road courses elsewhere during the last years. .

“(We’re) relearning like everyone else,” Elliott said at NASCAR’s Twitter Spaces this week, referring to the Next Gen transition. “We found a good package with the other car in 2016 or 2017 and started fine-tuning from there. And it took us a long time to get to where we were really happy and liked things and could really extract what we needed from the car.”

CARRETERA AMERICA: Weekend schedule | Paint Schemes | betting odds

Despite the drought, although, as Elliott noted, “he hasn’t been bad” on road courses since his last win, posting three top-five finishes, Elliott is a rare betting favorite to become an overwhelming crowd favorite.

As of Wednesday, the 26-year-old former Cup champion sits atop the odds to win the race at +450, well ahead of Kyle Larson (+700), Ross Chastain (+800) and others. Elliott also dominates the handling odds at BetMGM; he has 23.9% control over only 6.5% of the tickets. If that turnout holds up to the green flag on Sunday, it would be the most for a favorite this year.

Elliott is also a heavy favorite over Martin Truex Jr. in the featured matchups betting. Here are the four matchups this weekend at Road America:

Tied with AJ Allmendinger and Denny Hamlin for the fifth-best odds of winning a race at +1200, Martin Truex Jr. also looks to dominate road courses again. From late 2018 through mid-2019, he won two of four road races, including back-to-back victories at Sonoma Raceway. But he hasn’t won since and hasn’t finished in the top three in his last four road-course starts.

And the public doesn’t like that their drought ends on Sunday; with a race-winning drive share of just 1.4%, he is the least popular pick among the seven drivers with odds of +1200 or more.

Kyle Busch is one of only two drivers whose odds of winning a race have improved since the market opened Monday morning. The jump, from +1200 to +1000, comes as the crowd hit defending champion Henry 180 with almost 15% control.

“I’d say the two road-course events so far this year weren’t our strong suit,” Busch said of fights for the pilots of Joe Gibbs Racing. “Why did we miss it? I don’t know. If I could answer that, we wouldn’t have a problem, we wouldn’t have been bad.”

His teammate Christopher Bell competed at the EchoPark Texas Grand Prix but struggled in the Toyota/Save Mart 350 and sits alongside every other Toyota driver without an average top-10 racing position on road courses this year. However, he did win at Road America (CTECH Manufacturing 180) in the Xfinity Series three years ago.

In his first appearance in a featured matchup of the season, Ty Dillon is a huge underdog with increasing odds. After opening at +260 against Chase Briscoe, whom he has finished ahead of in two of the last five road races both drivers have started, Dillon has moved up to +280.

Briscoe is the other driver whose odds have increased since he opened; he has gone from +3300 to +2500 since the public hits him with 6.5% of the tickets (for 4.4% of the handle). Only Allmendinger, Busch and Kyle Larson have a larger ticket share.

Corey LaJoie, also making his featured matchup debut, is a big dog for Alex Bowman as he looks to contend on a circuit for the first time in his Cup Series career.

Their featured matchup comes a week after a fight — and Bowman’s sarcastic post-race praise for LaJoie — at the Ally 400 that ended Bowman’s day early.

You can see up to date Kwik Trip 250 odds and more NASCAR odds at BetMGM online bookmaker.

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